I had to admire the chutzpah of IPCC chairman Rajendra Pachauri who finally, after more than a week of flailing for a response to the leaked emails by climate researchers, could only manage a plea for trust in the very system that has been so badly compromised.
Pachauri said the large number of contributors and rigorous peer review mechanism adopted by the IPCC meant that any bias would be rapidly uncovered.
"The processes in the IPCC are so robust, so inclusive, that even if an author or two has a particular bias it is completely unlikely that bias will find its way into the IPCC report," he said.
"Every single comment that an expert reviewer provides has to be answered either by acceptance of the comment, or if it is not accepted, the reasons have to be clearly specified. So I think it is a very transparent, a very comprehensive process which insures that even if someone wants to leave out a piece of peer reviewed literature there is virtually no possibility of that happening."
The IPCC, which was set up by the UN in 1988, is the world's leading authority on climate change. It advises governments on the science behind the problem and was awarded the Nobel peace prize along with Al Gore in 2007.
The intense political dynamic around climate change science should evoke skeptism in any educated person, but its far simpler than that--we simply don't have the tools to determine the impact of anthropogenic gases on global temperatures. Let's be clear--we can't reliably predict the weather beyond 72 hours because we don't have enough data points--sensor data from ocean buoys.
Obviously the Guardian has a wicked sense of humor--slyly pointing out that the IPCC shared Al Gore's "Peace Prize".
Its been interesting to read the apologia by various climate change proponents, and recognize the same rhetoric repeated over and over again--"we're the good guys, trust us..." Take George Monbiot's column, which couches his genuine concern about the damage the emails have done and will continue to do, with this characterization.
The greatest tragedy here is that despite many years of outright fabrication, fraud and deceit on the part of the climate change denial industry, documented in James Hoggan and Richard Littlemore's brilliant new book Climate Cover-up, it is now the climate scientists who look bad. By comparison to his opponents, Phil Jones is pure as the driven snow. Hoggan and Littlemore have shown how fossil fuel industries have employed "experts" to lie, cheat and manipulate on their behalf. The revelations in their book (as well as in Heat and in Ross Gelbspan's book The Heat Is On) are 100 times graver than anything contained in these emails.
You can almost hear his voice going up a few octaves as he was writing this--the panic is obvious and properly anticipated.
The entire global warming hoax is based on the public's generally good opinion of science and scientists and the power of 'scientific consensus' in this context. I can't help but compare this with a similar dynamic for the Iraq invasion. The public's esteem of the military was used to sell the justification for invasion, in fact, the administration sent Colin Powell who while Secretary of State during the Bush administration's first term, is better known as the general who 'won' the Gulf war along with Norman Schwartzkopf.
It was the "trust me" gambit, no different really than what we've been seeing with the global warming hoax. Ironically, the worm may be turning on climate change for the very same reasons the public turned against the Iraq war.
After the invasion, we found no stockpiles of WMD, and in spite of the quite reasonable explanations that Saddam had everything he needed to reconstitute his program at anytime, the public heard only--NO WMD found! The dichotomy between the expressed pretext for the war and the lack of WMD is quite similar to the claims of global warming and the fact that Al Gore is always talking about them when there is a snow storm outside--people's experience with the climate is that things are getting colder, not warmer. Like WMD, the absence of public confirmation led to jokes (even by President Bush...), but it set up an environment where skepticism was if not embraced, accepted as a reasonable position.
The turning point for public opinion on the Iraq war came during President Bush's State of the Union address, in which he claimed that Saddam was sourcing nuclear materials from Africa. Yet again, in spite of later confirmation that there were indeed attempts to buy yellowcake from Niger and possibly other sources in Africa, alleged forged materials used by British intelligence destroyed the credibility of the claim, and with it the administration's goodwill with the American public.
Judging by the shear panic of IPCC officials and their media accomplices, I'd say the global warming hoaxers just had their "seven little words" moment.