Melting Himalayan glaciers cuts a little close to home in India.
In India the false claims have heightened tensions between Dr Pachauri and the government, which had earlier questioned his glacial melting claims. In Autumn, its environment minister Mr Jairam Ramesh said while glacial melting in the Himalayas was a real concern, there was evidence that some were actually advancing despite global warming.
Dr Pachauri had dismissed challenges like these as based on “voodoo scienceâ€, but last night Mr Ramesh effectively marginalized the IPC chairman even further.
He announced the Indian government will established a separate National Institute of Himalayan Glaciology to monitor the effects of climate change on the world’s ‘third ice cap’, and an ‘Indian IPCC’ to use ‘climate science’ to assess the impact of global warming throughout the country.
I admit to a little Schadenfreude, but the story has a larger significance beyond the destruction of the climate change conspiracy.
The U.N. was never more relevant than during the cold war, in which small countries, usually irrelevant in terms of international diplomacy, could act as brokers between the two great powers of the time. Canada's long and intense commitment to the U.N. arose from the late Prime Minister Lester Pearson's success in helping to resolve the Suez crisis. Pearson got a Nobel Prize out of the deal, and Canada got to feel like an important country in the global scheme of things.
The end of the cold war, and the rise of globalism created a number of new economic powerhouses in the world, which in turn translated to a larger number of important global players to take into account for whatever ambitions a country had. How is China going to feel about this? India? The U.S.? The E.U.? Russia?
One might have expected the U.N. to have become even more relevant in a multi-polar world, but unexpected, it became less so, and for good reason.
The U.N. was always a pretense, and simply did not reflect the global realities in any meaningful way. Global players increasingly sought bi-lateral agreements, and in some cases multi-lateral agreements that were completely outside the purview of the U.N. Clinton ignored it in the former Yugoslavia, Bush ignored it in the middle east AND Afghanistan, and Obama saw no reason to change anything.
The IPCC was perhaps a final chance for the U.N. to stake out some relevancy in a world that doesn't appear to have any use for it.
With the IPCC discredited, the U.N. is destined for a kind of diplomatic dinner theater, joining the various royal remnants as symbols of an earlier time and set of ideas.
What I think is likely is a rather drastic cut in dues payments to the U.N. The combination of intense budget pressure and the ignominy of the IPCC's deception is going to make the U.N. dues budget an attractive target for future administrations. Other countries will follow suit, and the U.N. will simply be starved to death rather than abolished.